Back in March, the state was concerned with the potential impact of oil prices, causing the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas to predict that Texas job growth would slow between 1%-2% in 2015 from 3.4% last year.
Factors contributing to the estimate included a decline in the oil and gas industry, tight labor markets and weakening exports, said Dallas Fed Economist Keith Phillips and Research Analyst Christopher Slijk in “Texas Facing Economic Headwinds in 2015.”
But so far, the impact of oil prices on Texas housing has yet to be seen.
“The impact of lower oil prices continues to be delayed, leading to a surprisingly strong second quarter. In fact, Texas home sales are actually stronger than they were this time last year, when oil prices were nearly $100 a barrel,” said Scott Kesner, chairman of the Texas Association of Realtors. “This is further evidence of the strong and enduring demand for Texas real estate.”
Texas home sales increased 46.3% from first quarter 2015 and 4.7% year-over-year to 88,906 home sales.
The median price for Texas homes also increased, growing 8.1% from second quarter 2014 to $200,000, while the average price increased 9% year-over-year to $258,786.
This is the first time the median price for Texas homes has risen to $200,000 and marks an all-time high for Texas home prices.
Monthly housing is still very much a seller’s market as inventory continued to decline, falling 9.2% year-over-year to 3.8 months.
“Despite expected negative impacts from the decline in the oil price and rig counts, both existing housing development and new single-family home sales continue to be strong. While a down oil and gas market makes it difficult to forecast Texas real estate for the rest of the year, preliminary numbers indicate a positive third quarter of 2015. Additionally, the expectation of rising interest rates in the near future could be stimulating demand as well,” said Jim Gaines, economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.
By: Brena Swanson